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Comment on TAA vs buy and hold in overvalued markets by paul.novell@gmail.com

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Yes, I have. The guys at AllocateSmartly have done that as well. I leave that up to them.

Paul


Comment on About by Aerfally

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First thing’s first: This website has been tremendously helpful, and I have donated in kind. You have added valuable information to the community. It’s refreshing. Thank you.

Is there a particular portfolio management software, either online or stand-alone, you would recommend?

Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – june 2017 by Steve

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Thanks Paul! Nice work

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by Isaac Ohel

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1. I am trying to follow your blog on FRED. I could not get the May numbers in PERMIT.
What am I missing?
2. I would be happy to be a beta-tester for your newsletter.

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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PERMITS were released this morning. It takes a bit of time for FRED to update the latest data.

Paul

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by Bernie

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Hi Paul
I would be very interested in your newsletter. Btw I have been traveling through Germany Italy and Englandfor a month. These economies are booming!
cheers

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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Isaac, I have also put you on the beta list for the newsletter.

Paul

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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Thanks Bernie. You’re on the list. Expect the first release at the end of this month. I’ll be in England later this summer. Looking forward to experiencing some of the local craft beer economy… 😉

Paul


Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by MickyC

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I thought I’d already replied but clearly failed to press the “Post Comment” button.

I’m happy to volunteer also Paul. I live in Australia so if you need someone with a local, American viewpoint I guess I ain’t your man. Otherwise I’m good to go.

Cheers.

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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You got it. You’re on the list. An international perspective will be appreciated.

Paul

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by B

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Paul,

I volunteer and would welcome the opportunity to be on the beta list since this is one of my favorite sites.
Thanks.
– B

Comment on Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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You got it. On the list you are.

P

Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017 by PW

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Hi Paul,

Would you agree that the big one to look at is unemployment rate vs 12 month moving average? (ie as per article in Philospohical Economics)

Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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If you have to choose one indicator, then yes it has the best track record. But it has been late to some big recessions as well, 1973 and 2001 for example. But there is no reason to choose only one indicator to look at. All 6 that I use in the COMP indicator add value to an investment system.

Paul

Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017 by R.R.

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Paul ! You sent me a link to help me get started on learning from a beginner prospective, I saved it on a bookmark but can’t find it. I let someone else do my investing and I made a bad decision. I enjoy your blog but I’m lost. Can you if you have time to send me that link again. Thanks you so much


Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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Here’s what I sent before:

“Here’s a few sites that may help:
investor.gov
investopedia
vanguard blog”

Unfortunately, there is no real good one place to get started on investing. It is a massive topic.

Paul

Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017 by Kevin

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Thanks for the sanity check. Too many are preaching major correction balcony.

Comment on Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017 by paul.novell@gmail.com

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That is so true. It is certainly possible and there have been some decent size corrections outside of recessionary periods (1987 being the most extreme example, and late 2015/early 2016 being the most recent) but the economy is still hanging in there as are corporate earnings.

Paul

Comment on Quant strategies: 1H 2017 performance update by hector

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And I thought I was following along ok … but you are back to speaking in tongues! 🙂

Comment on Quant strategies: 1H 2017 performance update by Tony

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Hi Paul,

Great reminder about the base rates. Hard to focus on the big picture sometimes when you are in the trenches.

Can you point me to where you discussed the more aggressive versions of the quants? Curious how to implement these.

Has your backtesting shown the more aggressive versions to outperform the traditional strategies over the longer-term?

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